Polymarket Predicts 'No' on Kai Cenat's GTA Marathon Completion by November 10 Deadline
With streamer Kai Cenat still playing Grand Theft Auto V on the market's resolution date, the Polymarket predicting his full GTA marathon completion by November 10 is heavily skewed towards a 'No' outcome, despite his significant progress towards a broader, later goal.
The high-stakes prediction market on Polymarket, questioning whether popular streamer Kai Cenat would complete his ambitious Grand Theft Auto marathon by November 10, 2026, is poised for a 'No' resolution. With mere hours remaining until the 11:59 PM ET deadline, market participants have priced a 'No' outcome at a commanding 0.962, implying a 96.2% probability that Cenat will not meet the specified completion date. The market has seen substantial engagement, with a trading volume exceeding $1 million.
Kai Cenat embarked on his monumental Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, at 3 PM EST, with the objective of playing through Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V live on stream. His overarching personal goal for this extensive playthrough is to complete all five titles before the highly anticipated launch of Grand Theft Auto VI on November 19, 2026.
As of November 10, 2026, Cenat has demonstrated remarkable progress. Reports indicate he has successfully completed Grand Theft Auto III, Vice City, San Andreas, and Grand Theft Auto IV. He reportedly finished the GTA trilogy (III, Vice City, San Andreas) approximately 61 hours into his marathon, and GTA IV was completed around the 100-hour mark. Currently, he is live on stream, tackling Grand Theft Auto V, the final game in his lineup. His stream timer showed nearly 107 hours of broadcast as of November 10.
Despite this impressive pace, the market's strong conviction for a 'No' outcome hinges on the strict November 10 deadline. While Cenat is "nearing the finish" and "looks set to get there with days to spare" for his November 19 target, completing an entire playthrough of Grand Theft Auto V and then formally accepting it as a "successful completion of the marathon" within the remaining hours of November 10 is deemed highly improbable by traders. The market rules explicitly state that the marathon must be finished and accepted by him as complete by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date for a 'Yes' resolution. Any abandonment, cancellation, or delay past this point would result in a 'No' resolution.
The current market odds of 0.038 for 'Yes' (a 3.8% chance) reflect the significant challenge of concluding Grand Theft Auto V and declaring overall completion within the tight timeframe. This contrasts with his personal ambition to wrap up the marathon before GTA VI's release, a goal he appears well on track to achieve. However, for this specific Polymarket, the clock on November 10 is the ultimate arbiter, and it appears to be running out for a 'Yes' outcome.
Sources:
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFd5nv0EoWxI4efI09MJDPyAFsic9N3KpoFpn5o9t7-HOUnSGBUiVVomYxpAlhW8gSFno9DX7AJ1VKfolWlovPlhkXYa2DC-4SBp-ztecxGNs7KkGibOOzkIlDJzLhliw4Ibr-dt9qwMmNJk4LBHEGiApwX8eAnImt-d34ZHaluRl_d53OYpyofHIJENAOey72l0tEo3rDGOXcQ5PtAqUKeDRiQDUGchZyspb4rF70-AzYTMah1j8m-nrEUvGbKitY=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFtE__nW77l2csxExzHU8GXOY5J5gyYQVzU8GSbB9iWIYe6_FbkaZbvwGhY_x-67vwl2cBUev9WHqiyKDmLbUOH2rTbb-33y4xd7cYfn5jzVXWRdh4oaBiQUwB7cR3st3OxcpG41ol594TILgsDCudwfzPSzmwyvsZq8X9mXmRAYNFeh6lzzW2dVYhuid2qi3Iwa4v-Yedm1l40NmcS_s-n1G8PeJDnpGI94DcpkcUkQ_lDtab18ujjmrnv79pEAuC4zxFbrPf62QdNSEekHXCfsmAyjGlJwbKR
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHM4TLBxm-HWUj8OeM7oDCcyrUHTxKTrWfM_Gt_hFt968FrxIqU2KBygbTegU-M7H3kxDmR2vulVjc3iJ5mBgbgSzLIxb8OCyILrF3NExwqGYbvcHIOLmta5RYzy_21XZVSBZDveZo=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHAD-cALQ559amDtS_B7HDWoxP5VYq1k1zo9Eu9TupLDP7SBfN_SPK-Kp0Bj8ovcwuIQWcH3MpVXbGO_kqhvVimp2PJJ_mBu1MpH3gXGc7DFxNG5HJ1po4D_PJLBW8FGjw6cl3hoRjbYVLZUGDt2zbgYaseqBLcCz7WSEk33ClrH3gJt2VBCmW3mpVmkHmVVcbZJFL1ooQ5yif5UKrsu48sg9c191cKGP42S71NPUTDjX4nPfQXVZtNw9HqQJNn-O6qrsMlpoCQwHCQSNk=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGCpelJlKmoMGOR4u2SeDpmhNsy02A_O5Y30CPNfSsJi0EQq13VBMmVE71UCJlAb8YZILLpP8Q9tyTf54OliWZo3OoI6rmJMNk4V4KM1n-Ivh7PO905s-KmYmhcKNUDhax7zOFQvHZbKSCILTRLzTnLkE_lc2nBtpZmjkkadT9YEPwDtJxP
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQG3iV0MAspxYPJwwddj25c6zhDVheNx3L0dyuJmcEyy7eOI_BnEQ5ynOaJTwS0CxoRrB8UIPye5PH6Ujmjk25nj1u2pIZEinh2RDnrlAX5ZNmfaYcICnKrrfo5W_yGwNirodhbZ6W77qsa8fbGRNB_36ZHWCrfU2K-ZkDG4OAAEoA==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHIY7yrLfWz8WOUa9J7X57X3SmOLUWOkzDxXOYlOpjP9-A1uKXg0TewHO1TLdHTLqhuAG8prQjGC8kepVMS1Xt2cA5C3yw02MbJ7A77DiviTizBjavxDKpn4EXrUk4Iin0WPV3hX5rJJUxUHnLnNLEim-RFVBK7ryqVyfZw7l7IZ4aQbr3ezAdd
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGGlakwb1wj7r55xlQJxjSecuipe3XcjqQ4g9MDmOz6BaCv1JyF_rC8xhcsAvVtBHCI5U2oQa895pPdzdoJyvZ_3Bil9noCuWQF32EB6gAlVkUwty6-qy5HdWzg2S-9P-a13V_T79c=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFgOIjN_SDVCznG4FyMQ0c7PAPFpG8eKWRWb3WeyhrsIOt9gdbDvyzaJ8EgMWr_LWKf9JV4tUBgs6YTb2E_vZxu9qfTMe5RbneCHJB4PEpI90xSLDnHzc46Kq-O17Z_k0qQHQYR5zH4xxb4SQjS
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHgeuXOE1Tnf3gBLQjp9OhTlog6335Fa9HGJAc1movN4Q6MjDvTQBXwtdxuu0B5d8ap76tOD1y_eHykgBzF5QoOTbPYdwaCA40YJqB8sUVsF1qv8skB-Rzyoi_Fkaix4aEQ67FcWSwSVyXfBJv7HXFq1qoBsDLVr_-LE5cZ3lgQbC78UCroKf5teFuge45bTg0AdxS-8asDW4eSG6YbrKE=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGJkftEuc3FmHVw2tYZ1ln1_wVZxrxnNZRouR-_Qb-ALo_7Fq0htGC-Atmg8fUtlE1RROu-AahdzVA7vjwxpAr0GIUdFHH7dWK7FpkX7fUsHblL_6ocDOxgQykddlityrd0OQ==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFIL9Vdhxkd4fwi8Zu6WipPtWfV0pHsr_Qb5dkGgUwibB_OeZTN4eNO3HHEJJunjIOo4Z__APAFUwBd_V9jP4A1hy-FSjMB02_d3KYB6enbYRkhdVritfSd_snvTZxS1tmau2Q5sfWzn_HqfpHStaZVv3rCYW-Ro0iuVS4Y_cf0H0ZVIJ1QBH7x5hpbbNzldHO2ETty8ibbKQSLGAE3OX0NgBl_hlqxcPy4ErgRR5s9Uz6CDwyHcdAv5tZnFw41hJsrVEYM6kSGQlWoNlAIujF7L4D-abla3IoeetrLH3eYIhco1je9sK3z
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGVJsFwHTwCUW2Dbhak8qIMSADREIyoaq-oNg3lb9xdh6bFh6ab5k3UDNMjgV0eV6yb1-p7q-sja-DpS-p8y-0KWud6Iq-jxP7G2PLl81mOEAugdp6bCUCX9Q1-KuMGt0M5zbB02TY_eDyZT1wkW5yGtZbodR6AGQirs_jGaR3mZ0HZTilHA4zgC7l3Q0vmmQ=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHQuknQHVNLVCRdXrWTaRkS3emzFFaFpneWEythdqnh1RDIEVWSQ3vLqkrXPGXdjGv5GBA1E5V0r1nTfXok5Ckmgvyp9mH3c5c9AA3ckVe0YNcGqcE-Eu-kruw_XnA8s-sKCFd1UEem0gp7L7QL2PA9FVXyEKwwmKqw0P0nFa8F7jf_kqEdbto=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEWYNeBR4J9GLqv0yfg575zXJ1VZQM-l7kwMrZuCv5OaqeiodJFdznwPEBn1c6yLuN_85Yw617Nmf4hlVaogo_tYE4uY2HIakJtnzwxSsWkBun5NFQFAwSBAEn_IXIAxg=
Market data fetched at 2026-11-10 18:15 UTC | Polymarket ID: 6731228
This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.