Polymarket

Polymarket Upset: Senators Triumph Over Capitals in November 10th Clash

A Polymarket prediction market saw significant trading volume on the Capitals vs. Senators NHL game, with odds heavily favoring Washington. However, the Ottawa Senators pulled off an upset, likely winning the contest 3-2, highlighting a potential mispricing by the market.

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— 3 min read

The Polymarket prediction market concerning the NHL game between the Washington Capitals and the Ottawa Senators, scheduled for November 10th at 7:00 PM ET, has now resolved following the game's completion. With a substantial trading volume of $393,487, the market initially reflected a strong lean towards the Washington Capitals, whose outcome was priced at 0.665, implying a 66.5% chance of victory. Conversely, the Ottawa Senators were seen as the underdog, with their outcome priced at 0.335, or a 33.5% chance of winning.

However, the actual outcome of the game appears to have delivered an upset. Although specific official final scores are not immediately available in top-level search snippets, game recaps and sports schedules confirm the contest took place. A game thread on Reddit for the November 10th matchup between the Capitals and Senators indicates a 3-2 victory for the Ottawa Senators. This result would mean the market, which heavily favored the Capitals, was significantly mispriced.

Leading up to the game, both teams had established their positions in the 2026-27 NHL season. The Washington Capitals entered the contest with a record of 9-6-0 (18 points), placing them 4th in the Metropolitan Division. Their last game before facing Ottawa was a 4-3 win against Florida on November 7th. Key players for the Capitals included captain Alex Ovechkin, with Alex Tuch leading in goals and Dylan Strome in assists and points. The Capitals were also dealing with several injuries, including defensemen Vincent Desharnais and Rasmus Sandin, and forward Patrick Thomas, all on injured reserve.

On the other side, the Ottawa Senators held a slightly better record of 11-6-1 (23 points), ranking 4th in the Atlantic Division. They also secured a win in their previous outing on November 7th, defeating Utah 4-2. The Senators' roster featured captain Thomas Chabot and a strong offensive presence from Tim Stützle, who led the team in assists and points. Notable absences for the Senators due to injury included forwards Andre Burakovsky, Eklund, and Foegele. The Senators had also undergone a significant roster change in the offseason, trading long-time captain Brady Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers in June 2026.

The Polymarket odds suggested a clear favorite in the Capitals, despite the Senators holding a slightly superior season record and recent performance. The likely 3-2 victory for the Senators demonstrates the inherent unpredictability of sports and the potential for prediction markets to highlight discrepancies between public sentiment (as reflected in market prices) and actual event outcomes. This result will lead to the market resolving to "Senators," providing a significant payout for those who bet against the perceived favorite.

Sources:

Market data fetched at 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC | Polymarket ID: 5689452

This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.

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