Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market for the March 25 NBA game between the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers showed the Heat as slight favorites at 0.575, a curious stance given the Cavaliers' recent winning streak and the Heat's struggles, alongside significant injury reports for both teams.
Polymarket
A prediction market on Polymarket concerning the NBA game between the Atlanta Hawks and Detroit Pistons, with a trading volume nearing $2.7 million, remains unresolved after the scheduled March 25th contest was postponed due to a winter storm.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Elon Musk's tweet activity from March 27 to April 3, 2026, shows overwhelming confidence that he will post significantly more than 39 times, with the 'No' outcome trading at 0.9995.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on an Israeli major ground offensive in Lebanon is poised for a 'Yes' resolution, with current odds reflecting widespread reports of an ongoing large-scale military operation launched earlier this month.
Polymarket
With just days left until the March 31 deadline, a Polymarket prediction market shows overwhelming odds against the Iranian regime's collapse, despite recent U.S.-Israeli military strikes and a leadership transition, as the IRGC reportedly consolidates power.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a US-Iran ceasefire by March 31 is heavily favoring 'No' at 83.5%, following Iran's rejection of a US peace proposal and ongoing military hostilities. Allegations of insider trading have also surfaced around the market.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market concerning Iranian military action against Israel on March 19, 2026, is poised to resolve 'No,' despite numerous reports of missile and drone strikes around that date. The market's strict resolution criteria likely explain the discrepancy.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election shows overwhelming consensus that Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) will not win the most seats, reflecting the party's decision not to contest the election as an independent entity.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Bitcoin reaching $150,000 in March is poised to resolve 'No', with current odds reflecting an extremely low probability as the month's end approaches and Bitcoin trades significantly below the target price.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for a 50+ basis point Federal Reserve interest rate cut in April 2026 shows overwhelming odds against such a move, reflecting broad market and expert consensus that the Fed will maintain its current policy given elevated inflation and resilient economic activity.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates extremely low odds of Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to be Prime Minister by March 31, despite a looming budget deadline that could trigger early elections.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an exceptionally low probability for Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) to secure the most seats in the upcoming April 2026 parliamentary election, a sentiment strongly supported by recent political developments and the party's dramatically diminished sta