Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 shows a strong 'No' despite extensive U.S.-Israeli military action in 2025 and 2026, including airstrikes, the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader, and deployment of ground forces with objectives to seize Iranian territory.
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A Polymarket prediction market indicates an overwhelming belief that Strait of Hormuz traffic will not return to normal levels by May 15, 2026, amidst ongoing US-Iran hostilities and unprecedented shipping disruptions.
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A Polymarket prediction market places extremely low odds on U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting her recent Senate primary loss and lack of stated presidential ambitions.
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The Polymarket for UFC 328's main event reflects a strong market belief in Khamzat Chimaev, who is heavily favored to retain his middleweight title against Sean Strickland amidst a fiery build-up.
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A Polymarket prediction market on whether István Kapitány will be Hungary's next Prime Minister shows near-unanimous 'No' odds, reflecting the recent parliamentary election results where Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a landslide victory, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year tenure.
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A Polymarket predicting an Iranian airspace closure by May 8th shows a sharply declining 'Yes' probability, despite recent reports of military engagements between US and Iranian forces.
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A high-stakes NBA prediction market on Polymarket shows the Philadelphia 76ers as narrow favorites against the New York Knicks in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals, despite trailing the series 0-2. Injury concerns for both teams are heavily influencing the odds ahead of tonight's pivotal m
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Despite a recent Hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, expert consensus and prediction market odds strongly suggest a low probability of the World Health Organization declaring a Hantavirus pandemic in 2026.
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A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by May 15, 2026, shows a mere 19.9% chance, despite reports of a one-page memorandum of understanding in advanced talks. Recent military clashes and ongoing disagreements on core issues underscore the market's skepticism.
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A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by May 31, 2026, currently shows a 33.5% chance of resolution, with recent military clashes in the Strait of Hormuz casting a long shadow over ongoing diplomatic efforts.
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A Polymarket prediction market shows a narrow lead for a US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026, amidst ongoing negotiations for a framework agreement and recent military flare-ups.
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A Polymarket prediction market with over $1.5 million in volume heavily favors the Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinals matchup, reflecting widespread confidence in the top-seeded Thunder amid Lakers' injury woes.