Polymarket
Polymarket Predicts Near Certainty for Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by May 31, Despite Temporary Nature of Latest Agreement
A Polymarket prediction market on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is trading at an astonishing 0.9995 for 'Yes', signaling near-absolute certainty among traders following a recent three-day, U.S.-brokered truce.