Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an extremely low probability (0.85%) of the Iranian regime falling by May 31, 2026, despite ongoing internal unrest, severe economic strain, and recent leadership changes following US-Israeli strikes.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to 'normal' by May 15, 2026, is set to resolve 'No', with current odds reflecting near certainty. Ongoing geopolitical conflicts and a drastic reduction in vessel transits, as reported by IMF Portwatch, underscore severe d
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on whether Donald Trump would utter the term 'Dumbocrat' during his May 15, 2026, interview with Bret Baier is trading at near certainty for a 'Yes' outcome, reflecting strong market belief that the controversial term was used.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Australia winning Eurovision 2026 shows near-zero probability, starkly contrasting with traditional betting markets that place Australia as a strong contender on the eve of the Grand Final.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates a low probability (7%) of an official security agreement between Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, despite ongoing mediation and Syria's stated desire for peace.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Finland winning Eurovision 2026 has settled overwhelmingly on 'No' with prices at 0.9995, strongly indicating Finland did not secure the victory following the contest's conclusion on May 16, 2026.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for the Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana bout has effectively resolved, with Ardelean's price skyrocketing to near certainty after her decisive submission victory at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on May 16, 2026.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market for Eurovision 2026 shows exceptionally low odds for an Israeli victory, despite the country's strong public vote performances in recent contests. Geopolitical controversies and new voting rules appear to heavily influence market sentiment.
Polymarket
Bulgaria has clinched its first-ever victory at the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 with Dara's 'Bangaranga.' The Polymarket prediction market, which queried the possibility of a Bulgarian win, accurately mirrored this outcome with near-certain 'Yes' odds.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on whether Donald Trump would mention 'Iran' during his May 14-15, 2026, meetings with Xi Jinping saw 'Yes' odds at a stark 3.9% despite multiple reports confirming Trump explicitly discussed Iran during the events.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for the Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans IPL match on May 16, 2026, has effectively resolved with Kolkata Knight Riders as the overwhelming winner, reflecting their decisive 29-run victory.
Polymarket
A prediction market concerning VfB Stuttgart's match on May 16, 2026, has resolved to 'No' following their 2-2 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, a result that nonetheless secured Champions League qualification for Stuttgart.