Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates a low probability (26.5%) of an official ceasefire between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, reflecting the ongoing military hostilities and diplomatic stalemates in the region.
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A Polymarket prediction market on US forces entering Iran by December 31 has reached near-certainty for a 'Yes' resolution, following confirmed reports of US special operations personnel conducting search and rescue missions inside Iranian territory in early April 2026.
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A Polymarket prediction market places extremely low odds on former New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting a crowded field and Murphy's own cautious remarks as he concluded his gubernatorial tenure.
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A Polymarket prediction market shows a low 18.5% chance of an official US-Iran ceasefire by April 15, reflecting a diplomatic deadlock where Iran rejects temporary truces and President Trump issues ultimatums for a permanent resolution to the ongoing conflict.
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A Polymarket prediction market shows extremely low odds for Beto O'Rourke securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his recent electoral setbacks and the emergence of other prominent contenders.
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A Polymarket prediction market on a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 is trading at 95.7% for 'No,' reflecting deep skepticism after Iran rejected a 45-day truce proposal and President Trump issued an ultimatum for de-escalation by tonight.
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A high-stakes Polymarket prediction market, with over $121 million in trading volume, indicates a near 100% probability that US military personnel have physically entered Iran before the April 30 deadline, driven by recent combat search-and-rescue operations.
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A Polymarket prediction market tracking the NHL game between the St. Louis Blues and Los Angeles Kings has effectively resolved, with the Kings' victory on April 1st now reflected in overwhelming odds.
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The Polymarket on Cambio Radical securing the third-highest number of seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election shows overwhelming odds against it, aligning with post-election reports that place the party significantly outside the top three contenders.
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The highly active Polymarket prediction market for the NHL game between the Anaheim Ducks and San Jose Sharks has effectively resolved, with the San Jose Sharks securing a 4-3 victory on April 1, 2026, leading to a near-certain payout for 'Sharks' bettors.
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The Polymarket prediction market for the NBA game between the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors has effectively resolved, with prices reflecting a near 100% probability of a Spurs win following their 127-113 victory on April 1, 2026.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Benjamin Netanyahu's premiership by March 31, 2026, overwhelmingly favors him remaining in power, despite ongoing corruption trials, significant public protests, and a complex regional conflict.