Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the US-Iran ceasefire continuing through May 24, 2026, closed with overwhelming confidence in a 'Yes' outcome, despite a surge in kinetic military actions reported immediately after the deadline.
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With just days left until the May 31, 2026 deadline, a Polymarket prediction market on a permanent peace deal between the United States and Iran shows overwhelming odds against a 'Yes' resolution, despite recent reports of a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension.
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A Polymarket prediction market gauges the likelihood of a permanent US-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026, with current odds at 40.5% for 'Yes'. This comes amidst reports of a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and ongoing negotiations, even as military tensions persist and a definitive agreement re
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Morocco, fresh off a historic 2022 World Cup semi-final run and recent continental triumphs, faces long odds to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with Polymarket reflecting a 1.45% chance amidst a recent coaching change and evolving tactical approach.
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A Polymarket prediction market shows extremely low odds (0.0065) for the US gaining physical possession of Iranian enriched uranium by May 31, 2026, reflecting ongoing, complex negotiations that propose future discussions rather than immediate transfer.
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A Polymarket prediction market on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension by May 31 is trading with a 'No' favored, despite reports of a tentative 60-day agreement reached by negotiators, as a crucial official announcement from President Trump remains pending.
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A Polymarket prediction market places Sergio Pérez's chances of becoming the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion at a mere 0.35%, reflecting his current position with a new, developing team and the highly competitive landscape of Formula 1.
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A Polymarket prediction market asking if Iran would close its airspace by May 27 resolved to 'No,' reflecting that despite heightened geopolitical tensions and localized flight restrictions, a broad and complete suspension of commercial flights did not occur as defined by the market's strict criteri
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A Polymarket prediction market on the return to normal shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 is overwhelmingly signaling 'No,' with recent data and escalating tensions confirming severe disruptions.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Scotland winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows a minuscule 0.25% chance, reflecting widespread skepticism following their disappointing Euro 2024 campaign and a challenging World Cup group draw.
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A high-volume Polymarket prediction market on Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs saw the Spurs favored, but the Thunder defied the odds, winning the crucial matchup and resolving the market to 'Thunder.'
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A Polymarket prediction market on Ecuador winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflects extreme skepticism, with 'Yes' trading at a mere 0.0085. This comes despite Ecuador's strong qualifying campaign and a talented squad, highlighting the monumental challenge of lifting the coveted trophy.