Polymarket
Polymarket's US-Iran Agreement Market Nears 'No' Resolution as June 12 Deadline Passes Without Official US Announcement
A Polymarket prediction market on a new US-Iran agreement or ceasefire extension by June 12 is heading for a 'No' resolution, despite widespread reports of an imminent deal. The market's strict criteria for an official US government announcement appear to have been unmet by the deadline.