Polymarket Predicts NIP Victory: Weibo Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas LPL Match Concludes with Expected Outcome
A Polymarket prediction market for the LPL Group Nirvana match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas saw overwhelming sentiment for Ninjas in Pyjamas, accurately reflecting the eventual 2-1 victory for NIP on August 13, 2026.
The highly-anticipated League of Legends Pro League (LPL) Group Nirvana match between Weibo Gaming (WBG) and Ninjas in Pyjamas (NIP), initially scheduled for August 13 at 3:00 AM ET, has concluded with Ninjas in Pyjamas securing a 2-1 victory. This outcome was strongly telegraphed by a Polymarket prediction market, which saw NIP's odds of winning soar to an almost definitive 0.9995 prior to the official resolution.
The prediction market, which attracted over $1.45 million in trading volume, offered participants the chance to wager on the victor of this best-of-three (BO3) series. The market's resolution criteria were clear: Weibo Gaming wins if they defeat Ninjas in Pyjamas, and vice-versa. Provisions were also in place for cancellations, ties, or forfeitures, though none of these alternative scenarios materialized.
The LPL 2026 Split 3 is a significant tournament in the competitive League of Legends circuit, with teams vying for playoff spots and international qualification. The Group Nirvana stage is particularly crucial, as the top two teams advance to the Knights Rivals play-in stage, while the bottom two are eliminated from the 2026 LPL season.
Key developments leading up to the market's effective resolution centered on the teams' recent performance and their standing within Group Nirvana. Ninjas in Pyjamas entered the match with a commanding 6-1 record in Group Nirvana, having already secured a top-two finish in the group with this victory. In stark contrast, Weibo Gaming held a less favorable 1-4 record within the group prior to this series, highlighting a significant disparity in recent form.
The current market odds of 0.0005 for Weibo Gaming and 0.9995 for Ninjas in Pyjamas unequivocally indicated that the market had all but resolved to a NIP victory. Such lopsided odds on Polymarket typically reflect either a widely anticipated outcome due to overwhelming statistical advantage or, as in this case, the actual result becoming public knowledge before the market's official closure. The match results, reported by multiple esports outlets, confirm Ninjas in Pyjamas' 2-1 win over Weibo Gaming.
While historical head-to-head records between the two teams have been somewhat mixed, with Weibo Gaming holding a slight overall advantage in past encounters, Ninjas in Pyjamas demonstrated superior form in recent weeks, including a 2-0 victory over Weibo Gaming on July 30, 2026. This recent performance, combined with their strong group stage showing, likely contributed to the high confidence in NIP's favor reflected in the prediction market. The official resolution source for this market, gol.gg, is expected to corroborate these results, solidifying NIP's advancement in the LPL 2026 Split 3.
Sources:
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGKmVEmJANxmFHSXZMKEQ9bWjTvT_IA7u9I3nGGidynwHDSPT9DxrcI_QWsvVgwBnCOwtsZ-CbiOSPRyxGudIHrPTn8X4e-hj60EEk3NSz91nSNx9aXVajUmmcrwywPoE-thbHiEdt7KzaNzQvCC6gVncb2YtM03OxwaYS5YmtR26xc50e3koKJvzGOVwbSMRDW6QcbLHic9J05hxI-QZAKFRV7Igk4
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGdbfCbvIYhi6HgrdiDGbc2w8Z3oFw8SsZ5z3dwhRf1KBVtPDU2mua9feqOIhOhdDAyuOUb8j4SG0Ll3DvW8rSlGmNqTieFytqCT9d79T7AoZAvd6mTxY5WXFWaq1kD1e5YPnLN7q_5uTmAGkSfVamP7gHjnDlDBcUE-cE-mK3HOvz6y3OCU235rijobLJbBlm5EUFBWZtH6wRY-Qkc7R1GNcPJXaXhUuWSgW1spsBZe7myxO42lA5setZ5_ug=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGTTFJjaBZDyyj5xchJzbxn77Xl8mhVcICVWbJ1jhv5U0aNHdM414ij-ya6vgd4xHTNtlUWsXlBmxOGsJ6M83YsQoele8fxugcV6echWHQH6F-IsoilpHVMkN8Uu43oK0gvrljLjveFaxsTRJEnPiH8e7iDBKJsenrQpnVrG7x9fdKb
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEuKpN3bY56Sz4xwxYHVLroiF8oT-qh891D1VqUwxwaDbnn5NFPiTT3pi2QNYRLp6IRZ_hHdAvclxjQwga9MhDfrOMGpv5fyDRotl3ivuhfp6MwphCVQSphN1yhE0mOEgSqxFYrL08YthoU5A5uvBSWG0qaVo0YEVjQa7xbTKJ3LwuIT0Fugeo5Z5rI33UZrshgGDTS5gpZKw==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHYO0fxCXJLtCDNsrf3ETBq1levXTBx92CEdoYDBeVYIMt9uFmE97rf5SYSHFYtgX7f8VlA68yjclk5w8UoZ7cCodEaNkmC1BHm26PNNXhUAWCUheMgm4uKmEONfgw1-SqWu81AkygL_lDqktr1gLsRc9oJaSILfSzmOfccGSZUK5_7-eWGXGOrGQjAnJPlMZfPe5TTsVgcwa_T
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGikKzpZPCyUyjUJTQW4SawOluiap_tTNj54HJuVTcgiWaVsYCr7Tqj6a-BnJ56G1Rh0zGcWZPNKqq9urFCbTaQm25HI8TnGDbEbe3VqaprW5d9N-K2w94_9HU2ImFql8RrI4wGJEpQM9l33XFRU0vpHZ-KXJ9v54Ok6_l2zSWO4WQ=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEf36aZlnhxb4zMta5d5uVMLE9Rx1w0bTHEsSkdG8DoMxgOikH1i5pRX1n6kVTXlvaWINl0_YHjO6HL1ewGEwnCx4nMKv1D4Ll7h-E4JWUxBOJX5OzQLtfFo0PE1OuIYvIFl-nBAXOz7w=
Market data fetched at 2026-08-13 12:15 UTC | Polymarket ID: 3328336
This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.