Polymarket

Polymarket Predicts Near-Zero Chance for Scott Colom in 2028 Democratic Presidential Race Amid Tight Senate Battle

A Polymarket prediction market places Scott Colom's odds of securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at a mere 0.15%, reflecting a consensus that the Mississippi district attorney, currently embroiled in a tight 2026 U.S. Senate race, is not a contender for the White House.

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A prediction market on Polymarket, tracking the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, currently assigns Scott Colom an exceptionally low probability of success, with a 'Yes' outcome trading at just $0.0015. This translates to a perceived 0.15% chance that Colom will win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028, while the 'No' outcome stands at a dominant $0.9985, indicating a 99.85% likelihood he will not secure the nomination. With a trading volume of $446,497, the market's pricing reflects a strong consensus among participants regarding Colom's unlikelihood as a future presidential nominee.

Scott Colom is a prominent Democratic politician and lawyer from Mississippi, currently serving as the District Attorney for the 16th Judicial District since 2016. Born in 1982, Colom has a distinguished career, including being the first Black elected district attorney to a majority-white voting district in Mississippi's history. He has also held roles as a justice court judge and city prosecutor, and was nominated by President Joe Biden for a U.S. district judge position, which was ultimately blocked by Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Crucially, Colom's immediate political focus is the ongoing 2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi. He is the Democratic nominee challenging incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in a race described as "extremely tight" and "too close to call" even days after Election Day on November 3, 2026. Colom has expressed confidence in winning this election, which, if successful, would make him Mississippi's first Black U.S. senator since the Reconstruction era.

Despite his significant profile in Mississippi politics and his current high-stakes Senate campaign, there is no public indication or reporting from any credible sources that Scott Colom has expressed interest in or is preparing for a 2028 presidential bid. His name is conspicuously absent from lists of potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates, which typically include figures like former Vice President Kamala Harris, former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, among others. Indeed, Kamala Harris recently campaigned with Colom in Mississippi in October 2026 but stated she had not decided on her own 2028 presidential run.

The Polymarket odds, therefore, accurately reflect the current political landscape. While Colom is a rising star within the Democratic Party, particularly if he secures the Senate seat in a historically red state, his trajectory does not currently point towards a presidential campaign in 2028. The market's near-zero pricing for a 'Yes' resolution is a strong indicator that, barring unforeseen and dramatic developments, Scott Colom is not expected to be a contender for the Democratic presidential nomination in two years.

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Market data fetched at 2026-11-06 12:17 UTC | Polymarket ID: 559707

This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.

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