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Polymarket Predicts Miami Open Outcome with Near-Perfect Accuracy as Sabalenka Claims 'Sunshine Double'

The Polymarket prediction market for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff Miami Open final closed with overwhelming odds favoring Sabalenka, accurately reflecting her victory and historic 'Sunshine Double' achievement.

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— 2 min read

The prediction market on Polymarket concerning the highly anticipated Miami Open women's singles final between Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff has concluded with a decisive outcome, mirroring the real-world result of the high-stakes match. With a substantial trading volume of $2,373,922, the market provided a fascinating real-time barometer of public and informed sentiment regarding one of tennis's premier showdowns.

The market, which was set to resolve based on which player advanced from their match scheduled for March 28 at 12:30 PM ET, saw its 'Aryna Sabalenka' outcome trading at an extraordinary 0.9995, while 'Coco Gauff' stood at a mere 0.0005 just before the final resolution. These near-certain odds unequivocally signaled the market's expectation, which has now been confirmed by official match results.

Indeed, Aryna Sabalenka, the world No. 1, defeated Coco Gauff in a thrilling three-set final on Saturday, March 28, 2026, with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 6-3. The victory not only secured Sabalenka her second consecutive Miami Open title but also marked a historic achievement: the "Sunshine Double." This rare feat involves winning both the Indian Wells and Miami Open tournaments in the same season, a distinction only accomplished by five other women in the Open Era, including Iga Swiatek in 2022.

The match itself, lasting 2 hours and 11 minutes, showcased Sabalenka's dominant form. She exhibited powerful groundstrokes that often overwhelmed Gauff, the world No. 4. A key statistical difference highlighted in post-match analysis was Gauff's seven double faults compared to Sabalenka's flawless record of none, indicating consistent pressure on Gauff's serve. This win also pushed Sabalenka ahead in their head-to-head rivalry, now leading 7-6.

The current market odds of 0.9995 for Sabalenka and 0.0005 for Gauff perfectly reflect the match's definitive outcome. This demonstrates the remarkable efficiency of prediction markets like Polymarket in assimilating real-world information rapidly. Once the match result was known, participants quickly adjusted their positions, or the market had already priced in an extremely high probability for Sabalenka, perhaps due to her consistent form throughout the tournament and her strong performance in the preceding Indian Wells. Her 2026 record now stands at an impressive 23-1, with her only loss coming in the Australian Open final.

For traders on PolymarketIntel.com, this market serves as a prime example of how such platforms can provide immediate, data-driven insights into major sporting events, often pricing in outcomes with exceptional accuracy as events unfold or are decided. Sabalenka's triumph in Miami not only cemented her status at the pinnacle of women's tennis but also offered a clear resolution for a highly active prediction market.

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Market data fetched at 2026-03-29 00:16 UTC | Polymarket ID: 1739460

This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.

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