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Polymarket Predicts Cerundolo Advance in US Open Clash Against Struff

A Polymarket prediction market for the US Open ATP match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo reflects strong confidence in Cerundolo, with current odds implying a 64.5% chance of him advancing.

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— 2 min read

The world of sports prediction markets is buzzing around the US Open ATP match between Germany's Jan-Lennard Struff and Argentina's Francisco Cerundolo. Originally slated for September 2, 2026, the Polymarket 'US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo' market, boasting over $721,000 in trading volume, is closely watched by bettors. As of September 3, 2026, the market reflects a clear favorite, with outcomes priced at 0.355 for Struff and 0.645 for Cerundolo, indicating a 64.5% implied probability of Cerundolo advancing. This market will resolve to the player who advances, with specific provisions for retirement, default, or cancellation scenarios.

Recent developments suggest the match, scheduled for Court 5, has concluded or is in its final stages on September 3, 2026, as per official schedules and live score indications. While a definitive final score is still emerging from some sources, early indications from live score trackers suggest Cerundolo has performed strongly. This aligns with his generally more robust 2026 season performance leading into the US Open.

Analyzing the players' 2026 seasons provides context for the market's sentiment. Jan-Lennard Struff has had a mixed year, compiling a 15-15 win-loss record across 30 matches, without securing any titles. His performance on hard courts, the surface of the US Open, has been less favorable, with a 3-8 record (27.3% win rate). However, Struff has shown resilience in Grand Slams this year, holding a 5-2 record (71.4%) across seven matches. His recent form shows a 6-4 record over his last ten matches.

Francisco Cerundolo, on the other hand, has enjoyed a more successful 2026 campaign. He clinched the IEB + Argentina Open title on clay in February and reached the semi-finals of Queen's Club on grass in June, demonstrating his versatility across surfaces. Over the past year, Cerundolo boasts a 61.4% win rate (35-22), and specifically for 2026, his record stands at 29-16. On hard courts, Cerundolo has a 9-7 record in 2026. Their head-to-head record also favors Cerundolo, who leads 1-0, having defeated Struff 6-0, 6-2 on clay at the BMW Open in Munich in April 2025.

The current market odds of 0.645 for Cerundolo to advance reflect these performance disparities and the head-to-head advantage. Cerundolo’s stronger overall season, including a title and a semi-final appearance at a significant grass-court event, coupled with his previous victory over Struff, likely contributes to the higher confidence among Polymarket traders. While Struff's Grand Slam performance this year has been notable, his hard-court record and the historical matchup against Cerundolo suggest a challenging path forward in this particular encounter. As the US Open progresses, the resolution of this market will provide a clear outcome of this anticipated second-round match.

Sources:

Market data fetched at 2026-09-03 18:18 UTC | Polymarket ID: 4087787

This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.

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