Polymarket
Polymarket's Israel-Iran Ceasefire Market: High 'Yes' Odds Amidst Regional Volatility
A Polymarket prediction market, with nearly $1.5 million in trading volume, currently shows a 96.5% probability for an Israel-Iran ceasefire to continue through July 25, 2026. This high confidence in 'Yes' comes despite a documented history of direct military exchanges between the two nations in Jun