Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz Gridlock: Prediction Market Reflects Bleak Outlook for Normalization by August 31 Amid Ongoing Conflict
A Polymarket prediction market on the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal traffic by August 31, 2026, is heavily skewed towards a 'No' resolution, reflecting the severe and ongoing disruption caused by the U.S.-Iran conflict and drastically reduced shipping transit calls.