Polymarket
US-Iran Peace Deal by May 26: Market Odds Lean 'No' Amidst Framework Talks
A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by May 26, 2026, currently favors 'No' at 63.5%, despite intense diplomatic activity. Recent reports indicate progress towards a potential 30-60 day framework agreement, rather than a definitive lasting peace, making the market's 'Yes'