Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market concerning Iranian military action against Israel on March 19, 2026, is poised to resolve 'No,' despite numerous reports of missile and drone strikes around that date. The market's strict resolution criteria likely explain the discrepancy.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election shows overwhelming consensus that Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) will not win the most seats, reflecting the party's decision not to contest the election as an independent entity.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Bitcoin reaching $150,000 in March is poised to resolve 'No', with current odds reflecting an extremely low probability as the month's end approaches and Bitcoin trades significantly below the target price.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for a 50+ basis point Federal Reserve interest rate cut in April 2026 shows overwhelming odds against such a move, reflecting broad market and expert consensus that the Fed will maintain its current policy given elevated inflation and resilient economic activity.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates extremely low odds of Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to be Prime Minister by March 31, despite a looming budget deadline that could trigger early elections.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an exceptionally low probability for Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) to secure the most seats in the upcoming April 2026 parliamentary election, a sentiment strongly supported by recent political developments and the party's dramatically diminished sta
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market shows overwhelming sentiment against the Golden State Warriors winning the 2026 NBA Finals, with current odds reflecting a mere 0.25% chance amidst an aging core, significant roster changes, and a challenging 2025-26 season.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market with over $40 million in trading volume assesses the likelihood of NBA superstar LeBron James winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with current odds heavily favoring a 'No' outcome despite ongoing pundit speculation.
Polymarket
A high-stakes Polymarket prediction market on the Denver Nuggets' NBA game against the Phoenix Suns has resolved to 'Suns' after the Nuggets failed to cover the -5.5 point spread in a narrow 125-123 victory.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the NHL clash between the Columbus Blue Jackets and Philadelphia Flyers, with over $1.5 million in volume, resolved to 'Blue Jackets' following their victory on March 24, 2026. The outcome aligned with pre-game market sentiment.
Polymarket
A Polymarket predicting an Israeli major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31 is priced at 0.9985 for 'Yes', reflecting widespread consensus that such an operation is already underway and meets the market's criteria.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the fall of the Iranian regime by March 31, 2026, shows overwhelming odds against a collapse, despite the recent assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, an ongoing conflict with the U.S. and Israel, and severe internal protests.