Polymarket
Despite lingering speculation and some favorable poll numbers, the Polymarket for Mark Cuban winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination shows a near-unanimous 'No' at 0.9905, reflecting Cuban's repeated and unequivocal denials of a presidential run.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on whether the US will obtain Iranian enriched uranium by May 31, 2026, currently shows low confidence in a 'Yes' outcome, reflecting deep uncertainties amidst ongoing US-Iran conflict, diplomatic efforts, and starkly contrasting official statements.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026, has seen its 'Yes' odds climb to 44.5%, reflecting cautious optimism from ongoing framework discussions despite significant unresolved issues and a looming deadline.
Polymarket
A prediction market on Polymarket forecasting a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah by April 18, 2026, is poised for a 'Yes' resolution, following the implementation of a 10-day, U.S.-brokered truce between Israel and Lebanon.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market shows extremely low confidence in the Charlotte Hornets winning the 2026 NBA Finals, despite their recent mid-season turnaround and a current play-in tournament run. With 'Yes' trading at a mere $0.0055, the market reflects a stark reality against the backdrop of their
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an extremely low probability of a 50+ basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve after its April 2026 meeting, reflecting broad market consensus against aggressive easing despite rising headline inflation.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an overwhelming 99.65% probability that the Federal Reserve will not increase interest rates by 25 or more basis points after its April 2026 meeting, despite persistent inflation and geopolitical concerns.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 22, 2026, shows significant skepticism with 'No' trading at 67.5%, despite ongoing mediation efforts and recent optimistic rhetoric from the US president.
Polymarket
The prediction market for the IPL 2026 clash between Gujarat Titans and Kolkata Knight Riders has effectively resolved, with Gujarat Titans' commanding five-wicket victory driving their outcome price to near certainty.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market with over $13 million in trading volume suggests low confidence in the Strait of Hormuz returning to a 7-day average of 60 transit calls by April 30, 2026, as ongoing geopolitical conflicts and blockades severely impact shipping.
Polymarket
A Polymarket predicting Atletico Madrid's victory in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League shows an 11.8% probability, as the Spanish club navigates a challenging semi-final against Bayern Munich.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates a mere 1.15% chance for the USA to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, despite home advantage and a talented squad, reflecting skepticism amidst recent coaching changes and strong international competition.