Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an extremely low probability of Russia conducting a nuclear weapon test before June 30, 2026, despite recent bellicose rhetoric and missile launches. Traders are betting against an explicit nuclear detonation, even as Moscow updates its nuclear doctrine and r
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A Polymarket prediction market shows Germany with just a 5.25% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, despite recent strong performances in Euro 2024 and a squad featuring promising talent.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Czechia winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflects extremely low confidence, despite the team's recent qualification and a favorable group draw.
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With just days left until the June 15 deadline, a Polymarket prediction market shows a 95.5% probability against a permanent peace deal between the US and Iran, despite claims of nearing a breakthrough.
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A Polymarket prediction market with over $40 million in trading volume indicates a near-unanimous belief that Austria will not win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, despite their recent strong performances and return to the global stage after 28 years.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Senegal winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows incredibly long odds, with a 'Yes' price of just $0.0065, reflecting the immense challenge ahead for the African powerhouse despite their talented squad and recent continental success.
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A Polymarket prediction market places Roberto Sánchez Palomino's chances of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election at a mere 7.7%, starkly contrasting recent polls that show him in a statistical tie or slight lead against Keiko Fujimori in the ongoing runoff.
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A Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows Sweden with an extremely low probability of winning, despite their dramatic qualification for the tournament.
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A Polymarket prediction market with over $40 million in trading volume indicates an extremely low probability of Algeria winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, despite their recent qualification and improved form under coach Vladimir Petković.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Canada winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows an implied probability of just 0.35%, despite the host nation's recent strides under coach Jesse Marsch and a favorable group-stage draw.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Egypt winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflects overwhelming skepticism, with current odds implying a near-zero probability despite the Pharaohs' qualification and the presence of superstar Mohamed Salah.
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A Polymarket prediction market on Carlos Álvarez winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election reflects a near-zero probability, aligning with recent election results showing Álvarez did not advance to the runoff. The tightly contested second round is currently underway between Keiko Fujimori and