Ivory Coast's World Cup Dream: Polymarket Weighs in with Near-Zero Odds Despite AFCON Glory
A Polymarket prediction market places Ivory Coast's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup at a mere 0.35%, reflecting deep skepticism despite their recent Africa Cup of Nations triumph and current World Cup participation.
The high-stakes world of sports prediction markets is currently scrutinizing the prospects of the Ivory Coast national football team in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. On Polymarket, a market asking "Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" is trading with a staggering imbalance: "Yes" is priced at 0.0035, while "No" sits at 0.9965, implying a minuscule 0.35% probability of an Ivorian victory. This comes despite the Elephants currently participating in the global tournament and having recently enjoyed continental success.
The market, boasting a substantial trading volume of $87,312,404, will resolve based on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner. Should Ivory Coast be eliminated at any stage, the market will immediately resolve to "No."
Ivory Coast enters the 2026 World Cup having directly qualified by dominating CAF Group F, finishing unbeaten with eight wins and two draws, and remarkably conceding zero goals while scoring 25. This impressive qualification campaign followed their miraculous triumph at the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), held in early 2024. Against all odds, the host nation, under the mid-tournament leadership of coach Emerse Faé, navigated a challenging path to lift their third AFCON title, defeating Nigeria 2-1 in the final.
Under Faé, who was confirmed as head coach after the AFCON success, the team has shown resilience and adaptability. Their current FIFA ranking is 30th as of June 20, 2026, an improvement of three places following their opening World Cup victory.
In the ongoing 2026 FIFA World Cup, Ivory Coast is placed in Group E alongside Germany, Ecuador, and Curaçao. They began their campaign with a 1-0 win over Ecuador but subsequently fell 2-1 to Germany. Despite the loss, Ivory Coast remains in a strong position to advance to the knockout stages, requiring a win or a draw against Curaçao in their final group match.
However, the Polymarket odds align with the broader sentiment from traditional bookmakers. Leading contenders for the 2026 World Cup title, such as France, Spain, England, and Argentina, consistently feature at the top of betting lists. Ivory Coast is typically given extremely long odds, with some sources listing them at +17500 (175/1) as of early June 2026. Historically, the Elephants have qualified for four World Cups (2006, 2010, 2014, 2026) but have never progressed beyond the group stage.
While their recent AFCON victory and strong World Cup qualification demonstrate significant progress and a talented squad, the step up to winning a FIFA World Cup remains an immense challenge. The market's current valuation reflects the perceived gap between their current standing and the elite global footballing powers, suggesting that a historic World Cup triumph for Ivory Coast is seen as an exceptionally remote possibility.
Sources:
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEngYtYpghYWMvyoYH0FGZ39Rnna6XErV9i3uLdlL8oqKr8i4iZlnk5hQ0y60XuBFT48fQjv3IwQfBzRvNwTpnr05mPlTaV9-aZsEOSJzycSYryVhWu3L9yzF11LfTVa71ldgo0U_tAReruGLXXB66I10Cr61t6kS7UYiZfNfde7bphqEYrsOOOfHMRxRwNqHwtRCt_dAiDr6m2598chZiHC0CbBKpvhcKAhO-15XGOsRchUTYZcv_m
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGNUjJrhTaVukVHxDEORfbvJzICzXzE6Q2mJ7DaP4nvdpBRQienDbgYi-X4iUUzrswfwF1EegYc9KA1v8gP_9UZEx5eMAQ5f_3Vae8DdCVkwYPcNI3TX6YDvpKVdB7WCjN13TM_LdFykmsA
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFDsc7drnnAW6zN38ZgOLznYnSVeBmvefDIlrGU2m9p1oHI0ZrPb--nB-8jARbwfhVzyuQXaYu4dLBSguv3VSS3xmpSc-UCxyXi1kpodMPnurbxBQs09FSWta_TLdpwkdkKeuWvalwzd1LW-n0qvGoevyoxeHfFd5cxWSdO9Tim7QBn58EDWR921JEFX1pD7Aace6CKTbiv57jm9j50fUvp-6z8KO9Thy21pTXqhXhC46WfTXXnxlBCr8dQBlQcP9omiWPYQ==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFIJC8EyShZ8-VRuyL0Shun7u6bvOtBAjSb9lNH-BpWMpqYr3vcSK2crp_GLlOI3JqAuIV-SFm-V50FUW14cTXkO8I38FWw8AlEPqaBRi9cnSV9pseGT3aliUnV3GJHfEvHvSezwtdaw2JaV_RnxEroRBeOvpUmKsDrHarShYNpbA==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFQ9cHx2Im6iplkqp3SN608j__a9oA7pZ6iQ_n4ufWRAo3cn2-dKr7Z166aX92d-wV2ABTO8-8vuyDhkdvKWH-4TbUE6gCTu_zH986lrOaJWcCSDkzWMYyq8xosQe0F2JwJo2BgiV6aO1I01cEfa_g92Sb9TZ72R9MArg==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGJ0mz678ytjnl_Tzz16BpX46HFHN4Yf9RdxAccKeXojdnIXIhh_MS24GXBqf6JV_JMvuepGbCE2U_-tl1HS203wYdKRd7zDYvZLiaSygfbSfJxWmplF_8vS8TBREyOdbznwS-AMe3yyg==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHTx35jM-LsC151RDYJjkZKaGzE_ctB1UoiMT-SgHF5n6d76Ye6Ym8oP2mHc7kGfcBSed_f2JgA1Vxpgx71GTXDaNoIlX7H6s-JIM_TWi7RaZ0DrC3gsNe6EGFgV2B0ywqC1hKx3TVcpw1rdDzx8jNStItpPepQ4PSZeT6WSAc__xARmE4nfos9eqESTFg4TVEXPipPpqgVbM0bYIWWQzRdo-S_9oLmtiam7QI_bxeb-vHWyxLFy8XloCYY4QQ=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQF4_OgrlCIhLRopUFgge7Y2S6zyYNal_d8J9QipSyUjYXB9dzW8-3D30-2CHA8wv7C_TfEfg0Ax7PNpY5G1W1ey1s4AwXPf2p7vBmQgLxaS5DpPWv7UzFrFieGbbTRweM=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEMZZaym5nFM27hGkZho5pi8sC751XdsvUATE9wIU8qD9uvBXkNJhJ1IUVww5NVL3fjY6iQf-wPAKJPpwP6pfXCj49bEpZhnaCXUMeV8zOULWFpElYpmdpY0OmaAEEhHNWxKO9Pf5n15IYWLik4XlaLDNFu6dSEjKbuxMwtrbuXaRJcelV8dljh
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGXRFcFBitJSMMb-yC1iOMQsu3TOK3g09doH23zI6HRgdwsdG5ZWp9NxE6mEorONMvdCPg0s60rDx4MV-33lR-ULDvM6o04-t3vaurXY2xCU8xB8A59QNSsS9Rfs_qK51flVIlWfGr78fZsdyOMBOHyxFpsKhm-Lc1ZSrasEG3VMZUbmAGBEOci6ljkmbFU7C9fZ1EwrQLn6qaaLHKtBRJV2UkttmgUqzlxxbK0ERGADvIcHHzxDqnVh-IjKicuzHKRNJ0hrW092nIZ-GIrlJkPooT0vvfVOclrk4Q4UhegaK4=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGewTjVEAJaWJ1StG77cuOmsIK8UemJyj9jXrYd-QS2-tell0x7R1UCnysjI9rupueMvmtZjWpBx1QD0g3Kwwbt-w5r12-4bJEV3V--7ZHFZXH2C9i2ce9dZpIc3JhSHmcr5aHldVOe7KwjMRnmi6gFG2uc
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGcJv-6gRkNIGDMKcvjP_i3v5wG60wKbEMP5BRz-TC8ZmGji88644Rzgj6vWY78GdqYUI5r3Tntc8MJwbA7lnSnR689-ob_Lv1Cqx8zobfJ4XRZr2Hj0DI9BjiMb0-Z5DiMVq2TRsFm3Q0Zna1jtNe4tR0ZQRbiT_tlzbrpRjwpd8Uaqm7ZONDTWVPDO0JVAGf9A-MJ5JftTGlvn4xa59sa7XF19_k8h274ZWk=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFMfopXA9hkCYsR7njkhYmZl2ASDoCcmC-kSrpQZ0BxlU5-DLYIrvyMIehLBglN6TNcIuB6Ma_qJpuNFkkqhPERsQwexaeye_Bk8P9yIblCQuWXC92GqNnS-A-wUz7kv95c--pOq5xR8WWDqN1MYozYIgzKTKwBXIxk
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGJcb33Rv0ZDjHm7qDHcPcQHpToGU8U9bFMkD4MhqMHpl2FGijkpN-z2oTuzTylPAj7m1vZ2B5XoSbU9ar99CKz7DFwlh7SW7Ecp6NwcZ35VjNhW3DxMfJCuZMrxu493aSVJhJ62XuIPmELQZJOR9fYAlGhwA6wTH3aoyT6MUu62m2SkjdeMh1JJRt7lh79FphdTNN80ihpC14XoUqOgJRpRlG8nBGJRM_wjcBLmcMreSAI2G3_pqQDXvCrowlYB1HIg4TB7FuOMtg=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHSVYbObgu3djVVfQWWAZkc7KmvKAwPAOmUKWJ-w8qime_H0vTS8nTzJ7JWz_lGP39Eg9BUcjoE1mgSsEe8wLP_DQrrdu_eXrdjbusnyU-8xKAD1GnHcfU5NYP5U6CNHOpcsXZht0TuV3z8PONeKvzVQLrLhYY0qvCDN3DBzX6Bay843mzJOsPt8vaR8grTPA=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHpqzoITDYkEx1BiV8EgtYN7BVxyHwxwVVsPFNSyIq8VWLZuapi9am8WVI8dfdP_YIJ-toy4Dbiv5UnWq2s9AX75gUup3qvnSihRbHW7qFn32kFbwR7vXl-9MSZOQoaIJXFNSK_Zs3xNGTrdVAsLLrZUIJwbuBHjE9D9u3d7GLbLc2SMtPKYyAxq3oNYy5hEaVE46tOqiOwzPUi6CqMr3rouPvm4-QEg0DfgC3t2DgMeei22CLW
- https://vertexaisearch.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQF3-skLXuJF0beShw2KTqcoO8UYfB-tzWfHTggK5uESWsIguVQ2QnUy_F5VbAfL8q4GlmayJY9MWkNoS_Gf8OZ4nhVpomUvGD095ifu5cBITOHV0IzM9ZoTluhfyi4-IHXBaY3MAMVP5k2YU4PQOV7iVT1NQaXXU2jtVD1ERP_cPD-RqR5y5MyvRh5Pf8grSXU3r9QvNNZ3w6hJ2lW8MyVctA==
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEGDwhuGxfpwypjbkQ2WNPCGUEDDLGnjMLfTuicXXI4uEApHQ4bnqQGjDTwT_FWxZ3PXVv-mt7jMLWq_XpvD67i4US1OBIRLv6qdMiiOGSQIP201pDG1oIsT--CSZNIBSFtKOUcE6pzYwQ75iFBQUcU-0M=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQE-qxRZHPmEZbtUMP_LvjRREmIRiWl1klkrMeX2Hr0LQ37RoQNOQdbHmR_h89CifKlgx9VaU700RrpDD57NWCRxtpqVMuMjpSeDWG0T1HyO9WIm8QjZphhH96FmOEU2TfmWDI5jq25qtdrxe9YWcPeJtebyol5GxT9JGm8=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGTyPVBn6cDUEaYg5OObIBag6JPqy-0DyiymvQimMJlJIxt03ScMupWSYg__MJUqvDhNt0tHsBE7_dmmwCeNklMDzgy0Jch1tE044teeBasOgIf3VEUSIdAy2dq93VuU0S0qksXNc_GcxwUZ5u1MAYPmw1Z5WnYEMgASIlG3xG4xkM=
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEFGqerrmxtC8c-Oolj8nnSWFEL2v4vLrMqxwpmHatOZAOQxBPDESopNL33KiaLuFfmeT0ceRU95Wasyd7TZ3RWm25yDPBcgaW52ptxpnQqaIme55mIVTsGwDggz8R1UL8aOCBtC3kgCi48-tMN_B3x5eG-fpe6SN5UTGz_t06HCk0H1MbyMgXGKIPBAyZvKM2VMoHn73RvCNiJd
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFjH95B-mzj-ydS24Yeq3Nm-JEwLJ0Pq2qW06YhsLp1oN_Z66ybiV6ItrRAV3ErWxqWBWGPO76Ov-OYk_9jVOS0oxHZV1hlPCSjKbTeRO9P13YwwqDEmguMmvyTvdAqJCdEAfCi3lYFtrO2PqaYxwSaV3-zaGecyN8afaxvb5ZHQ6yGi5_5mSM7vYuCTltHF0_lRVXLiX1KEAYBZkAS
- https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQE8t5OdCnFNmkuBE2FhalZgRiCFN-pIoLzXtldGvnN1RrgaOxi3dcnSP012fPJmYuow7HEqwUe1MjYHq2SGpBDVQ88JaxGaeashrWBGLO9Rob6c2f_J8F8AjLnenv4D7HCYNzu6WlIRxTGiZc4e-DWAf2hdzvdPDl8lLzh1wq98TyO_K6cAt2Bx12ySzhZn88DSz1Nc3gQq7QaKXXTqA3buygGogPsPUnUaGS5dnuprHx-CFHuIPe8=
Market data fetched at 2026-06-23 00:17 UTC | Polymarket ID: 558966
This article is generated by AI for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Data sourced from Polymarket and public web sources.