Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market asking if Iran would close its airspace by May 27 resolved to 'No,' reflecting that despite heightened geopolitical tensions and localized flight restrictions, a broad and complete suspension of commercial flights did not occur as defined by the market's strict criteri
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the return to normal shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 is overwhelmingly signaling 'No,' with recent data and escalating tensions confirming severe disruptions.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Scotland winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows a minuscule 0.25% chance, reflecting widespread skepticism following their disappointing Euro 2024 campaign and a challenging World Cup group draw.
Polymarket
A high-volume Polymarket prediction market on Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs saw the Spurs favored, but the Thunder defied the odds, winning the crucial matchup and resolving the market to 'Thunder.'
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Ecuador winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflects extreme skepticism, with 'Yes' trading at a mere 0.0085. This comes despite Ecuador's strong qualifying campaign and a talented squad, highlighting the monumental challenge of lifting the coveted trophy.
Polymarket
Despite reports of a tentative agreement between US and Iranian negotiators for a 60-day ceasefire extension and nuclear talks, Polymarket traders are overwhelmingly betting against an official US government announcement by the May 28 deadline, with 'No' contracts trading at 0.945.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on whether Donald Trump would dance on May 25, 2026, closed with overwhelming odds against it, reflecting his solemn public schedule on Memorial Day.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market, with over $3 million in trading volume, is currently assessing the likelihood of a permanent peace deal between the US and Iran by June 7, 2026. Despite recent reports of a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and a framework for nuclear talks, the market's 'No' outco
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for Croatia to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflects extreme skepticism, with a 'Yes' price of just $0.0085. This contrasts with Croatia's consistent deep runs in recent tournaments, including a third-place finish in 2022.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market shows extremely low odds for a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31, 2026, reflecting ongoing disagreements and Iran's insistence on deferring nuclear discussions from current ceasefire negotiations.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the LCK match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force has seen overwhelming confidence in a Nongshim Red Force victory, with the market settling at near-100% odds as the match concluded with a 2-0 sweep.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31, 2026, is currently trading with overwhelming odds against such an event, despite recent geopolitical turmoil and internal repression.