Polymarket
Polymarket Weighs U.S. Ground Invasion of Iran Amid Ongoing Conflict: Odds Remain Low for Full-Scale Offensive
Despite an ongoing '2026 Iran War' initiated by the U.S. and Israel, Polymarket traders currently assign a relatively low 24.5% chance to a U.S. ground invasion of Iran before 2027, reflecting expert skepticism regarding a full-scale territorial offensive.