Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Unlikely to Normalize by August 15 Amid Persistent Geopolitical Tensions
A Polymarket prediction market, with 'No' trading at 97.05%, strongly indicates that shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz will not return to a 7-day moving average of 60 transit calls by August 15, 2026, reflecting severe ongoing disruptions and geopolitical instability.