Polymarket
Polymarket Predicts Near-Zero Chance of Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 Amidst Entrenched Conflict
A Polymarket prediction market indicates an extremely low 3.85% probability of an official Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026, reflecting stalled peace talks, ongoing hostilities, and irreconcilable territorial demands from both sides.