Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a US-Iran ceasefire extension by April 22, 2026, is heavily favoring a 'No' resolution, reflecting the lack of mutual agreement despite a unilateral US extension and ongoing military actions.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the cessation of direct military conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States has resolved to 'Yes' with near-unanimous certainty, reflecting a significant de-escalation or prolonged absence of qualifying military action by April 15, 2026.
Polymarket
A high-stakes Polymarket prediction market, with over $8.7 million in trading volume, is signaling an almost certain 'Yes' outcome that direct military conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States will have seen a continuous 14-day halt by May 15, 2026, despite recent reports of ongoing regi
Polymarket
With just over a week remaining, the Polymarket prediction market for a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026, shows deep skepticism, with 'No' odds at 84.5%. This comes amidst an extended, yet fragile, ceasefire marred by accusations of violations and stalled negotiations.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market with over $18.5 million in trading volume currently assigns the USA a mere 1.25% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, aligning with cautious sentiment from traditional oddsmakers despite recent improvements under coach Mauricio Pochettino.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal traffic by April 30, 2026, is heavily favoring a 'No' resolution, with current shipping data showing drastically reduced vessel movements amidst ongoing regional conflict and blockades.
Polymarket
A Polymarket predicting the end of the Iran-Israel/US conflict by April 7, 2026, shows a near-certain 'Yes' outcome, yet recent news indicates continuous military action up to an April 8 ceasefire, suggesting a potential mispricing.
Polymarket
As the April 22, 2026, deadline looms, Polymarket's 'US x Iran permanent peace deal' market heavily favors a 'No' resolution, reflecting ongoing hostilities, unresolved key issues, and the postponement of crucial peace talks.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere reflected an overwhelming consensus, with Team Spirit's victory priced at a near-certainty. This market has now resolved to Team Spirit, following their 2-1 win.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026, currently shows a 41.5% chance of 'Yes,' indicating investor skepticism despite recent diplomatic efforts and a temporary ceasefire set to expire. Key disagreements over nuclear ambitions, sanctions, and regional inf
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows overwhelming odds against Panama winning the tournament, with a 'Yes' outcome trading at a mere 0.0015, reflecting expert consensus on the nation's long-shot status.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market places the USA's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup at a mere 1.25%, aligning with traditional sportsbooks and supercomputer predictions, despite the home advantage and a talented squad.