Polymarket
With the Polymarket 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?' market set to resolve today, current odds reflect a virtually nonexistent probability of a 'Yes' outcome, as diplomatic efforts have stalled and recent hostilities continue to plague the region.
Polymarket
A prediction market on Polymarket shows a strong consensus against a Hantavirus pandemic declaration by the WHO in 2026, despite a recent Andes virus outbreak on a cruise ship.
Polymarket
The Polymarket prediction market for the NHL game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Anaheim Ducks has effectively resolved to 'Ducks' following Anaheim's 4-3 victory on May 10, 2026. Current market prices reflect this outcome, with Ducks shares trading at a near-certainty.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market tracking a permanent peace deal between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, shows significantly low odds for a 'Yes' resolution, following President Trump's recent rejection of Iran's peace proposal and ongoing hostilities.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on whether U.S. President Donald Trump will visit China by May 15, 2026, is trading at a near-certain 'Yes' as official announcements confirm a state visit from May 13-15.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Michelle Bowman's confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair shows extremely low odds, reflecting recent developments where Kevin Warsh has been nominated to succeed Jerome Powell.
Polymarket
A high-volume Polymarket prediction market, which heavily favored the San Francisco Giants to win their May 10th MLB game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, has resolved to a surprising Pirates victory, highlighting a significant mispricing by market participants.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on the NBA game between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves, centered on a Spurs (-4.5) spread, has resolved to 'Spurs' after their 115-108 victory.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Stade Rennais FC's May 10, 2026 match against Paris FC is poised for a 'Yes' resolution, with current odds overwhelmingly favoring a Rennais victory following their 2-1 win.
Polymarket
The San Antonio Spurs defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 115-108 in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals on May 10, 2026, aligning with the implied probabilities of the Polymarket prediction market.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market on Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by June 30, 2026, currently shows overwhelming skepticism from traders, despite some bullish institutional price targets and ongoing institutional adoption.
Polymarket
A Polymarket prediction market for the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Learner Tien and Alexander Bublik shows Learner Tien at an astonishing 0.995, starkly contrasting conventional sports betting odds. This analysis explores the potential reasons behind this extreme divergence, including